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Dr. Ed's avatar

This will solve a problem the same way treating cancer with radiation does. It gets you through the dark time, may make you sicker in the short run, and let you live long enough to potentially get leukemia from cells altered by the treatment or cause other health effects like bone loss or infertility (in this case more of a self-afflicted abstinence). Treatment for the youngest among us will have the hardest, least predictable long term effects.

I see the potential good. I also see the very likely bad. On an individual level, I see this helping and very likely saving lives. On a societal level, I see it further isolating humans from each other. Phones were meant to bring people closer, but became a means of keeping people separated by keyboards. It's the tools we build on top of this new "device" that will shape societal impact. Perhaps a cautious optimism mixed with measured skepticism is one path forward.

Thanks for interesting read.

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Lotus Rose's avatar

I'll add to the list a few risk factors strangling software innovation at scale:

1. Models are not all created equal.

2. If you are testing LLMs with application-specific benchmarks targeting a specific industry problem, you are likely to find that the "new, improved" models do not perform as well as the previous generation of models, introduced only a few months earlier.

3. Emerging software startups typically don't qualify for SLA's, and may quickly run into issues not only of cost but of throttling, as they scale.

4. In their quest for profitability, the big players (I'm thinking of Anthropic here) seem to be solving for large enterprise customers exclusively. They are not really interested in making space for serendipity -- new and unexpected applications of their toolset, although these crop up all the time.

5. Anything you build can and will be copied by your competitors.

The solution here is probably open source AI models such as Mistral. These are somewhat more challenging to test and implement, and I am not certain how many vendors currently offer hosting. But it seems like the only path forward.

Would love to see more coverage of this dimension of our field.

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