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Stephanie Losi's avatar

This essay is a good take. I think one reason these AIs are so disconcerting is that the future evolution of AI poses both potentially unbounded downside risk *and* potentially unbounded upside. There's no consensus on which outcome is more likely, and there won't be consensus for a while, which is also unsettling and makes people feel uncomfortable. It's easier to put things--and people--in a box, so the immediate reaction may be to try to do that.

There aren't many risks that fall into this uncertain/unbounded bucket (most risks are clearly asymmetric in one direction or another--with either the downside or upside outcome having higher likelihood--and many are also bounded in magnitude on the upside or downside or both).

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Mykola Rabchevskiy's avatar

"Don’t fall for the easy argument" is good advice. Here is a less simple argument. The system has a limited amount of knowledge that can be accommodated. The number of questions it can generate answers to is infinite. Therefore, most of the possible answers must certainly turn out to be based not on the knowledge gained in the process of training.

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